Price Vita

Curriculum Vitae

Paul C. Price
Department of Psychology
California State University, Fresno
5310 North Campus Drive M/S 11
Fresno, CA 93740-8019
paulpri@csufresno.edu

Current Position

Assistant Professor, Department of Psychology, California State University, Fresno, 1996-present.

Previous Experience

Lecturer, Department of Psychology, University of Michigan, 1994-1996.
Teaching Assistant, Department of Psychology, University of Michigan, 1991-1994.
Editorial Assistant, Academic Press, Cambridge, MA, 1987-1989.
Research Assistant, Department of Psychiatry, Washington University School of Medicine, 1986-1987.

Education

Ph.D., Cognitive Psychology, Department of Psychology, University of Michigan, 1994.
M.A., Cognitive Psychology, Department of Psychology, University of Michigan, 1990.
B.A. magna cum laude, Department of Psychology, Washington University, 1986.

Research Interests

Cognitive psychology. Judgment and decision making. Likelihood judgment and confidence. Social cognition. Cross-cultural psychology. Computational and mathematical models.

Research Funding

National Science Foundation Grant, Experimental Studies of Desirability Bias in the Prediction of Future Outcomes, $120,000, 1999-2002.
CSU Legislative Award, Wishful Thinking in the Prediction of Future Events, $5000, 1998-1999.
CSU Legislative Award, Cross-cultural differences in probability judgment, $3000, 1997-1998.

Teaching Experience

Experience: Introductory Psychology, Cognitive Psychology, Psychology of Thinking, Social Cognition, Research Methods, Statistics. Interests: Judgment and Decision Making, Individual and Cultural Differences in Cognition.

Publications

Price, P.C. (in press). A group size effect on personal risk judgments: Implications for unrealistic optimism. Memory & Cognition.

Price, P.C., & Stone, E.R. (in press). Intuitive evaluation of probabilistic forecasters: Evidence for a confidence heuristic. Journal of Behavioral Decision Making.

Yates, J.F., Lee, J.-W., Sieck, W.R., Choi, I., & Price, P.C. (in press). Probability judgment across cultures. In T. Gilovich, D. Griffin, & D. Kahneman (Eds.), Intuitive judgment: Heuristics and biases. New York: Cambridge.

Price, P.C., & Murphy, R.O. (in press). General-knowledge overconficence: A comparison of Brazilian and American university students. Mente Social.

Price, P.C. (2000). Wishful thinking about competitive outcomes. Thinking & Reasoning, 6, 161-172.

Price, P.C. (1998). Effects of a relative-frequency elicitation question on likelihood judgment accuracy: The case of external correspondence. Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes, 76, 277-297

Price, P.C. (1996). Learning to decide [Review of the book Teaching Decision Making to Adolescents]. Journal of Behavioral Decision Making, 9, 151-152.

Yates, J.F., Price, P.C., Lee, J.-W., & Ramirez, J. (1996). Good probabilistic forecasters: The "consumer's " perspective. International Journal of Forecasting, 12, 41-56.

Green, L., Price, P.C., & Hamburger, M.E. (1995). Prisoner's dilemma and the pigeon: Control by immediate consequences. Journal of the Experimental Analysis of Behavior, 64, 1-17.

Price, P.C., & Yates, J.F. (1995). Associative and rule based accounts of cue interaction in contingency judgment. Journal of Experimental Psychology: Learning, Memory, and Cognition, 21, 1-17.

Heit, E., Price, P.C., & Bower, G.H. (1994). A model for predicting the outcomes of basketball games. Applied Cognitive Psychology, 8, 621-639.

Price, P.C., & Yates, J.F. (1993). Judgmental overshadowing: Further evidence of cue-interaction in contingency judgment. Memory & Cognition, 21, 561-572.

Price, P.C., Meyer, D.E., & Koh, K. (1992). Multivariable function learning: Applications of the adaptive regression model to intuitive physics. Proceedings of the fourteenth annual conference of the Cognitive Science Society (pp. 552-557). Hillsdale, NJ: Erlbaum.

Smith, E.M., North, C., & Price, P.C. (1989). Response to technological accidents. In M. Lystad (Ed.), Mental health response to mass emergencies (pp. 52-95). New York: Brunner/Mazel.

Presentations

Stone, E.R., & Price, P.C. (2000, November). A confidence heuristic in the evaluation of probabilistic forecasters. Paper presented at the meeting of the Society for Judgment and Decision Making, New Orleans, LA.

Pentecost, H.C., & Price, P.C. (2000, April). A think-aloud study of unrealistic optimism. Paper presented at the meeting of the Western Psychological Association, Portland, OR.

Price, P.C., & Pentecost, H.C. (2000, April). Role of perceived frequency in unrealistic optimism. Poster presented at the meeting of the Western Psychological Association, Portland, OR.

Price, P.C. (1999, November). Wishful thinking about competitive outcomes. Poster presented at the meeting of the Society for Judgment and Decision Making, Los Angeles, CA.

Price, P.C., Lee, R., & Voth, R.D. (1999, April). Computer simulation of unrealistic optimism in personal risk judgments. Paper presented at the meeting of the Western Psychological Association, Irvine, CA.

Price, P.C., Tymn, J., & Edmondson, C.B. (1998, November). Confidence in clinical jugment: The role of mere experience. Poster presented at the meeting of the Society for Judgment and Decision Making, Dallas, TX.

Arikian, J., & Price, P.C. (1998, April). Reducing unrealistic optimism using a relative-frequency elicitation question. Paper presented at the joint meeting of the Rocky Mountain and Western Psychological Associations, Albuquerque, NM.

Price, P.C. (1997, November). Wishful thinking about sporting event outcomes is reduced by a relative-frequency elicitation question. Poster presented at the meeting of the Society for Judgment and Decision Making, Philadelphia, PA.

Price, P.C. (1994, November). Installment framing: The mental aggregation and disaggregation of monetary cost over time. Poster presented at the meeting of the Society for Judgment and Decision Making, St. Louis, MO.

Price, P.C., Yates, J.F., Lee, J.-W., & Ramirez, J. (1994, November). Good probability assessors: The "consumer's" perspective. Paper presented at the meeting of the Psychonomic Society, St. Louis, MO.

Yates, J.F., & Price, P.C. (1993, November). Probability Analyzer 1.0: Assessing, decomposing, and improving probability judgment accuracy. Poster presented at the Teaching Forum of the meeting of the Society for Judgment and Decision Making, St. Louis, MO.

Biolsi, K., & Price, P.C. (1992, November). Judgmental forecasting of a cyclical time series. Poster presented at the meeting of the Society for Judgment and Decision Making, St. Louis, MO.

Price, P.C., Meyer, D.E., & Koh, K. (1992, July). Multivariable function learning: Applications of the adaptive regression model to intuitive physics. Paper presented at the meeting of the Cognitive Science Society, Bloomington, IN.

Price, P.C., Meyer, D.E., & Koh, K. (1992, May). Multivariate function learning and intuitive physics. Paper presented at the meeting of the Midwestern Psychological Association, Chicago, IL.

Price, P.C., & Yates, J.F. (1992, May). Overshadowing in contingency judgment. Paper presented at the meeting of the Midwestern Psychological Association, Chicago, IL.

Stone, E.R., Price, P.C., Biolsi, K., & Yates, J.F. (1992, November). Providing product information to consumers: Product descriptions vs. "overall scores." Poster presented at the meeting of the Society for Judgment and Decision Making, St. Louis, MO.

Heit, E., Price, P.C., & Bower, G.H. (1991, November). An adaptive strength-comparison model of predicting basketball winners. Paper presented at the meeting of the Psychonomic Society, San Francisco, CA.

Price, P.C., & Yates, J.F. (1991, November). An "illusion of control" in contingency judgment? Poster presented at the meeting of the Society for Judgment and Decision Making, San Francisco, CA.

Yates, J.F., & Price, P.C. (1991, November). Feedback in probability and contingency judgment. Paper presented at the meeting of the Brunswick Society, San Francisco, CA.

Price, P.C., & Yates, J.F. (1990, November). Covariation assessment: Effects of predicting one quantity from another. Poster presented at the meeting of the Society for Judgment and Decision Making, New Orleans, LA.

Honors and Awards

National Science Foundation Grant, 1999-2002.
California State University Legislative Award for Research, 1997-1998, 1998-1999.
National Science Foundation Graduate Fellowship, 1990-1993.
University of Michigan Regents' Fellowship, 1989-1994.
Phi Beta Kappa, 1986.

Professional Associations and Activities

Member of the American Psychological Association, American Psychological Society, Western Psychological Association, and Society for Judgment and Decision Making. Ad hoc reviewer for the International Journal of Forecasting, Journal of Behavioral Decision Making, Journal of Experimental Psychology: Applied, Journal of Experimental Social Psychology, Memory & Cognition, Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes, McGraw-Hill and Peacock publishing companies, and the National Institute of Mental Health.